El Oráculo · 0 of 3 — week of 26/10–30/10
Machine translation of the Spanish original. Read the original
Zero out of three with a defined direction and an average return of almost minus seven percent: the week had no nuances.

El Oráculo · Analysis
Week of October 26 to 30, 2026
The result
0 of 3
hits on directional predictions · hit rate 0%
3 misses · 1 neutral (excluded from hit rate)
Zero out of three with a defined direction and an average return of almost minus seven percent: the week had no nuances.
Tracked predictions
| MON 26/10BBD · post-earnings Donchian breakout with exceptional volume · 2d | -6.8%MISS |
| WED 28/10SNDK · CEDEAR lag vs US underlying + earnings tomorrow · 2d | -18.1%MISS |
| THU 29/10META · anticipatory volume with lagging price · 3d | -0.6%NEUTRAL |
| FRI 30/10GLOB · positive divergence ahead of confirmed earnings · 2d | -2.0%MISS |
Highlights
META · CEDEAR
-0.6% in 3 sessions · NEUTRAL
Entry $624.52 → exit $621.03
META: vol_ratio 4.8 signals quiet accumulation
SNDK · CEDEAR
-18.1% in 2 sessions · MISS
Entry $1404.77 → exit $1150.89
SNDK: SK Hynix +632% did not price in on BYMA
Unmeasurable
The next measurement starts from scratch; three consecutive misses are data points, not a confirmed trend with this sample size.
This is not an investment recommendation. The published information is general and does not account for individual situations. Trading in financial markets involves risk of loss. Consult a registered financial advisor before making decisions (Law 26.831).
Keep reading
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El Oráculo · META: ETFs accumulate with vol_ratio 2.5x
ETFs bought $259M of META on Monday while the stock bounces +2.95% today with a vol_ratio of 2.49 over the 30d average. The price is -17.5% vs its 60-day high and -6.5% below the MA20, with technical room to run toward the moving average. The US post-election market regained ground after the initial scare, and META, with no upcoming earnings (84 days), is free from that binary risk.
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El Oráculo · VSCXD: Yield at 60-day high without credit deterioration
Vista Oil & Gas corporate bond (ON) (VSCXD) yields 8.0% today, 51 bp above its 30-day average (7.49%) and at a 60-day yield high. The price fell from 102.8 to 100.7 in five sessions due to contagion from the VIST equity selloff (-5.46% today), not due to credit deterioration: there is no adverse news about the company or its USD cash flows. The EMBI at 805 bp does not reflect sovereign stress that would justify this additional spread on a corporate bond (ON) with dollarized cash flows.
- Sin categoría
El Oráculo · INTC: post-shock rebound with vol_ratio 12.5
INTC plunged -29% in a single session (worst day in decades), with a vol_ratio of 12.52 — a sign of massive capitulation, not gradual distribution. US futures open higher today and the market is beginning to decouple INTC's specific case from the sector-wide AI selloff. The two most similar historical setups in BYMA (April 2026, post-earnings shock) generated returns of +15.2% and +11.2% in 3 days.