September 19, 2025 · Currency
Pre-election run 2025
Currency tension ahead of the October midterms, after the government's defeat in the Buenos Aires provincial election: the dollar hits the top of the band, the central bank sells US$1.1 billion in three sessions and country risk tops 1,400 points. Days later the US Treasury announces a US$20 billion swap.
today scores 53/100 against this crisis · press: no reading · +4 over 30 sessions
12 of 13 variables compared
data as of Oct 28, 2026
How much each day resembled this crisis
daily score of each session
Recent resonances
- Jun 19, 2025 – Aug 5, 2025max 83 · 34 sessions
- Feb 20, 2025 – Mar 4, 2025max 61 · 9 sessions
- Mar 16, 2020 – Apr 1, 2020max 63 · 13 sessions
- Aug 13, 2019 – Sep 13, 2019max 66 · 24 sessions
- Jun 27, 2018 – Jul 9, 2018max 63 · 9 sessions
- Jan 24, 2014 – Feb 14, 2014max 66 · 16 sessions
- Jan 8, 2014 – Jan 14, 2014max 64 · 5 sessions
- Nov 14, 2012 – Nov 22, 2012max 63 · 7 sessions
Fingerprint, today and then
Tap a cell to see the variable. The highlighted cell is the one that most separates today from then; a dotted border marks a variable missing on either side.
What came after this crisis
HISTORY, NOT A FORECAST · what followed this crisis, not what follows today
| Variable | 30 days | 90 days | 180 days |
|---|---|---|---|
| Country risk | −25.2% | −61.0% | −58.1% |
| Reference dollar | −0.3% | −0.6% | −5.2% |
| Merval in USD | +18.4% | +89.0% | +68.8% |
| Reserves | — | — | — |
Change between the last reading up to the crisis date and the last reading up to N calendar days later. A dash means the series does not reach.
Where it sits in the territory
What Nuestra Señal wrote
No article of our own on this crisis yet.
General analytical information. Not investment advice or a recommendation.