● ACTIVOpredictor #6
oraculo.v4-limerick
temp 0.40 · horiz auto
Codename estable derivado del id de la configuración en el sandbox. El formato oraculo.vX.Y-tipo es opaco a propósito: no publicamos los nombres comerciales para que la auditoría se mida solo por el método (temperatura, horizonte, hit rate).
% de aciertos
29.0%
210 tesis cerradas
Predicciones
228
totales
Rendimiento real prom.
-0.59%
objetivo prom. 3.8%
Creatividad
0.40
horizonte auto días
Activo desde 2026-04-21 → 2026-06-25
Predicciones recientes
100 tesis, ordenadas por fecha| Fecha | Ticker | Tesis | Confianza | Horizonte | Objetivo | Real | Resultado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-25 | AL30 | AL30: licitación mañana comprime spread con GD30 | 6 | 2 | +1.2% | — | abierta |
| 2026-06-25 | TX26 | TX26: CER no descuenta licitación Tesoro | 6 | 2 | +1.2% | — | abierta |
| 2026-06-25 | GD30 | GD30: riesgo país en 433, spread vs EM no refleja | 6 | 5 | +3.0% | — | abierta |
| 2026-06-24 | NKE | NKE: earnings post-market HOY, expectativas bajas | 6 | 2 | +3.5% | — | abierta |
| 2026-06-24 | MU | MU: earnings post-market HOY, mercado no pricea sorpresa | 7 | 2 | +6.0% | — | abierta |
| 2026-06-24 | AL30 | AL30: riesgo país en 421, spread con GD30 se comprime | 6 | 3 | +2.0% | — | abierta |
| 2026-06-23 | YPFD | YPFD: petróleo crudo cae 23% en 30d, YPF no lo reflejó | 6 | 5 | +-5.0% | — | abierta |
| 2026-06-23 | GD30 | GD30: spread vs AL30 en máximos de 3 meses | 7 | 5 | +1.8% | — | abierta |
| 2026-06-23 | AL30 | AL30: spread vs GD30 en máximos, convergencia inminente | 7 | 5 | +2.5% | — | abierta |
| 2026-06-22 | FDX | FDX: earnings post-market mañana, expectativa alta | 5 | 2 | +-3.0% | -2.0% | fracaso |
| 2026-06-22 | NKE | NKE: earnings post-market 24/6, mercado subestima | 7 | 3 | +4.0% | — | abierta |
| 2026-06-22 | MU | MU: earnings post-market 24/6, volatilidad anticipada | 6 | 3 | +5.0% | — | abierta |
| 2026-06-19 | GD30 | GD30: compresión de riesgo país no priceada | 7 | 5 | +3.0% | — | abierta |
| 2026-06-19 | GGAL | GGAL: spread con BMA en máximos, convergencia | 7 | 3 | +3.5% | -7.7% | fracaso |
| 2026-06-19 | YPFD | YPFD: petróleo cayó 20% en 30d, YPF no reaccionó | 6 | 5 | +5.0% | — | abierta |
| 2026-06-18 | YPFD | YPFD: petróleo cayó 22% en 30d, acción no ajustó | 6 | 5 | +-5.0% | — | abierta |
| 2026-06-18 | TX26 | TX26: CER no refleja baja de tasa BCRA | 7 | 5 | +2.0% | — | abierta |
| 2026-06-18 | GD30 | GD30: riesgo país comprime, bono aún no reacciona | 7 | 5 | +2.5% | — | abierta |
| 2026-06-17 | BYMA | BYMA: volumen anticipa quiebre alcista | 7 | 3 | +5.0% | +1.2% | acierto modesto |
| 2026-06-17 | YMCXD | YMCXD: TIR comprimiendo vs pares ONs | 6 | 3 | +1.2% | -0.4% | neutral |
| 2026-06-17 | NU | NU: acumulación silenciosa antes de earnings | 6 | 3 | +6.0% | +0.9% | neutral |
| 2026-06-16 | YPFD | YPFD: petróleo cayó, acción no refleja | 6 | 3 | +5.0% | -0.4% | neutral |
| 2026-06-16 | AL30 | AL30: compresión de spread post-FOMC | 7 | 3 | +2.0% | +1.6% | acierto modesto |
| 2026-06-16 | GD30 | GD30: compresión de spread post-FOMC | 7 | 3 | +2.5% | +1.5% | acierto modesto |
| 2026-06-12 | AERAD | AERAD: spread vs AER1D en máximos de 60d | 6 | 3 | +2.5% | +0.0% | neutral |
| 2026-06-12 | A11LD | A11LD: spread vs riesgo país se comprime | 6 | 3 | +1.5% | +0.0% | neutral |
| 2026-06-12 | AER1D | AER1D: spread vs AER4D se comprime | 6 | 3 | +3.2% | +0.0% | neutral |
| 2026-06-11 | TX26 | TX26: CER no descuenta baja de tasa BCRA | 6 | 5 | +1.8% | -0.1% | neutral |
| 2026-06-11 | AL30 | AL30: riesgo país en 498, spread con GD30 se comprime | 7 | 5 | +2.0% | +1.6% | acierto modesto |
| 2026-06-11 | GD30 | GD30: riesgo país en 498, bonos aún no comprimieron | 7 | 5 | +2.5% | +1.6% | acierto modesto |
| 2026-06-10 | MU | MU: earnings post-market el 24/6, mercado no pricea | 6 | 5 | +5.0% | +21.0% | acierto |
| 2026-06-10 | ADBE | ADBE: earnings post-market mañana, baja expectativa | 6 | 2 | +5.0% | -7.5% | fracaso |
| 2026-06-10 | ORCL | ORCL: earnings post-market hoy, mercado subestima | 7 | 2 | +3.5% | -9.8% | fracaso |
| 2026-06-09 | YPFD | YPFD: petróleo cae pero acción no corrige | 6 | 3 | +-5.0% | +2.6% | acierto modesto |
| 2026-06-09 | GD30 | GD30: spread vs AL30 en máximos, convergencia inminente | 7 | 5 | +1.8% | +0.9% | neutral |
| 2026-06-09 | AL30 | AL30: riesgo país en 499 pbs, spread vs GD30 comprimible | 7 | 5 | +1.8% | +0.7% | neutral |
| 2026-06-08 | CHWY | CHWY: earnings pre-market mañana, expectativa baja | 6 | 2 | +6.0% | -0.8% | neutral |
| 2026-06-08 | ADBE | ADBE: earnings post-market 11/6, mercado subestima | 6 | 3 | +5.0% | -12.3% | fracaso |
| 2026-06-08 | ORCL | ORCL: earnings post-market mañana, expectativas bajas | 6 | 2 | +3.0% | -5.3% | fracaso |
| 2026-06-05 | GGAL | GGAL: spread con BMA en máximos, convergencia | 7 | 3 | +4.5% | +3.9% | acierto modesto |
| 2026-06-05 | YPFD | YPFD: petróleo sube 6% en 5d, acción rezagada | 7 | 3 | +4.0% | +1.3% | acierto modesto |
| 2026-06-05 | AL30 | AL30: riesgo país en 492 pbs, spread comprimible | 7 | 5 | +2.5% | -0.2% | neutral |
| 2026-06-04 | AL30 | AL30: spread vs GD30 en máximos de 60d | 6 | 5 | +2.0% | -0.2% | neutral |
| 2026-06-04 | TX26 | TX26: CER no refleja suba de tasa BCRA | 6 | 5 | +1.8% | +0.9% | neutral |
| 2026-06-04 | GD30 | GD30: riesgo país en 488, bonos no reaccionaron | 7 | 5 | +3.5% | +0.1% | neutral |
| 2026-06-03 | LULU | LULU: earnings post-market hoy, expectativas bajas | 6 | 2 | +5.0% | -9.4% | fracaso |
| 2026-06-03 | CRWD | CRWD: earnings post-market HOY, mercado no pricea sorpresa | 7 | 2 | +5.0% | -11.0% | fracaso |
| 2026-06-03 | AVGO | AVGO: earnings post-market HOY, mercado no lo priceó | 6 | 2 | +3.5% | -19.5% | fracaso |
| 2026-06-02 | TZXS7 | TZXS7: volumen récord, precio rezagado | 7 | 5 | +1.5% | +0.8% | neutral |
| 2026-06-02 | VSCVD | VSCVD: TIR comprimiendo, spread vs pares anómalo | 7 | 5 | +1.5% | -3.6% | fracaso |
| 2026-06-02 | VSCVD | VSCVD: TIR comprimió 56% vs max 60d, spread converge | 7 | 5 | +1.5% | -3.6% | fracaso |
| 2026-06-01 | GLOB | GLOB: -19.5% vs high 60d, acumulación silenciosa | 6 | 5 | +8.0% | -13.1% | fracaso |
| 2026-06-01 | CRWV | CRWV: volumen récord, precio rezagado | 6 | 3 | +8.0% | -12.7% | fracaso |
| 2026-06-01 | NVDA | NVDA: volumen anticipa breakout post-earnings | 7 | 3 | +5.0% | -1.2% | fracaso |
| 2026-05-29 | NOW | NOW: volumen récord, precio no refleja momentum | 7 | 3 | +5.0% | -3.4% | fracaso |
| 2026-05-29 | NU | NU: oversold extremo con soporte clave | 6 | 3 | +2.5% | -9.5% | fracaso |
| 2026-05-29 | NVDA | NVDA: acumulación en zona de soporte | 6 | 5 | +4.5% | -1.1% | fracaso |
| 2026-05-28 | NKE | NKE: volumen anómalo anticipa earnings | 7 | 3 | +3.5% | -5.7% | fracaso |
| 2026-05-28 | SNOW | SNOW: volumen récord, precio aún no reacciona | 7 | 3 | +6.0% | +7.1% | acierto |
| 2026-05-28 | GGAL | GGAL: rezago frente a BMA post resultados | 7 | 3 | +2.5% | +1.8% | acierto modesto |
| 2026-05-27 | RGTI | RGTI: volumen anómalo anticipa continuación | 6 | 3 | +8.0% | +6.6% | acierto |
| 2026-05-27 | NVDA | NVDA: acumulación silenciosa antes de soporte | 6 | 3 | +4.0% | +3.7% | acierto modesto |
| 2026-05-27 | GGAL | GGAL: rezago frente a BMA se cerrará | 7 | 3 | +4.0% | +7.0% | acierto |
| 2026-05-26 | SUPV | SUPV: rezago sectorial bancario post resultados | 6 | 3 | +3.5% | +11.7% | acierto |
| 2026-05-26 | BMA | BMA: rezago frente a GGAL en bancos | 6 | 3 | +3.5% | +12.7% | acierto |
| 2026-05-26 | GGAL | GGAL: spread con BMA en máximos, catch-up inminente | 7 | 3 | +4.0% | +7.5% | acierto |
| 2026-05-22 | NVDA | NVDA: volumen anticipa breakout post-soporte | 6 | 3 | +4.0% | -0.5% | neutral |
| 2026-05-22 | GGAL | GGAL: spread con BMA en máximos, convergencia inminente | 7 | 3 | +3.5% | +14.3% | acierto |
| 2026-05-22 | BYMA | BYMA: volumen anómalo en zona de soporte | 7 | 5 | +5.0% | +4.1% | acierto modesto |
| 2026-05-21 | WMT | WMT: earnings pre-market, caída no refleja | 6 | 2 | +4.0% | -1.6% | fracaso |
| 2026-05-21 | NVDA | NVDA: earnings ya priced in, volumen anticipa rebote | 6 | 3 | +3.5% | -2.8% | fracaso |
| 2026-05-21 | NIO | NIO: earnings pre-market hoy, mercado pesimista | 6 | 1 | +8.0% | -6.2% | fracaso |
| 2026-05-20 | GGAL | GGAL: spread con SUPV en máximos de 60d | 7 | 3 | +4.0% | +6.9% | acierto |
| 2026-05-20 | NVDA | NVDA: earnings post-market, mercado no pricea | 6 | 2 | +6.0% | -3.5% | fracaso |
| 2026-05-20 | NIO | NIO: earnings pre-market mañana, mercado no pricea | 6 | 2 | +8.0% | -6.9% | fracaso |
| 2026-05-19 | YPFD | YPFD: petróleo sube 5% en 5d, acción plana | 6 | 3 | +3.0% | -0.4% | neutral |
| 2026-05-19 | GGAL | GGAL: rezago frente a bancos pares | 7 | 3 | +3.8% | +8.4% | acierto |
| 2026-05-19 | NVDA | NVDA: earnings post-market mañana, expectativa alta | 7 | 2 | +4.0% | -1.1% | fracaso |
| 2026-05-18 | NVDA | NVDA: earnings el 20/5, mercado subestima el impacto | 7 | 2 | +5.0% | +0.9% | neutral |
| 2026-05-18 | GLOB | GLOB: volumen anómalo anticipa rebote | 6 | 3 | +5.0% | +1.3% | acierto modesto |
| 2026-05-18 | NU | NU: volumen 4.7x en mínimo de 60d, rebote inminente | 7 | 3 | +5.0% | +6.7% | acierto |
| 2026-05-15 | PAMP | PAMP: divergencia con sector energético | 6 | 3 | +3.5% | +0.7% | neutral |
| 2026-05-15 | NU | NU: oversold extremo con soporte clave | 6 | 3 | +5.0% | +5.0% | acierto |
| 2026-05-15 | GGAL | GGAL: rezago frente a pares bancarios | 6 | 3 | +3.0% | +3.0% | acierto modesto |
| 2026-05-14 | MELI | MELI: oversold extremo con volumen anómalo | 7 | 5 | +13.4% | +4.2% | acierto modesto |
| 2026-05-14 | NVDA | NVDA: earnings en 6d, mercado no pricea sorpresa | 7 | 5 | +4.0% | -7.0% | fracaso |
| 2026-05-14 | GLOB | GLOB: volumen récord en mínimos de 60d | 7 | 5 | +8.0% | +18.4% | acierto |
| 2026-05-13 | BHIP | BHIP: spread con SUPV en máximos de 12 meses | 6 | 7 | +5.0% | +6.8% | acierto |
| 2026-05-13 | VIST | VIST: rezago sectorial en energía | 6 | 10 | +4.0% | +6.6% | acierto |
| 2026-05-13 | NVDA | NVDA: volumen anticipa breakout | 7 | 3 | +5.0% | -1.6% | fracaso |
| 2026-05-13 | CEPU | CEPU: acumulación silenciosa en utilities | 6 | 3 | +5.0% | +1.0% | neutral |
| 2026-05-13 | MORI | MORI: rezago sectorial en alimentos | 6 | 5 | +3.8% | +0.7% | neutral |
| 2026-05-13 | MELI | MELI: acumulación silenciosa antes de earnings | 6 | 7 | +5.0% | +7.0% | acierto |
| 2026-05-13 | PAMP | PAMP: spread vs EDN en máximos, convergencia inminente | 6 | 5 | +3.5% | +0.4% | neutral |
| 2026-05-13 | SUPV | SUPV: catch-up tras caída sectorial sin motivo | 6 | 1 | +3.5% | +3.4% | acierto modesto |
| 2026-05-13 | TXAR | TXAR: rezago sectorial sin fundamento | 6 | 10 | +4.0% | +8.2% | acierto |
| 2026-05-13 | GGAL | GGAL: spread con BMA en máximos, converge | 7 | 1 | +4.5% | +0.1% | neutral |
| 2026-05-12 | NVDA | NVDA: mercado no descuenta earnings | 7 | 10 | +5.0% | -2.3% | fracaso |
| 2026-05-12 | DNC9O | DNC9O: spread con DNCAD no refleja vencimiento | 6 | 7 | +1.5% | — | abierta |
| 2026-05-12 | MELI | MELI: divergencia con volumen en suba | 6 | 3 | +3.2% | -2.0% | fracaso |