El Oráculo · 1 of 3 — week of 05/10–09/10
Machine translation of the Spanish original. Read the original
A week of three directional calls, only one hit: El Oráculo finished at 33%.

El Oráculo · Analysis
Week of October 5 to 9, 2026
The result
1 of 3
hits out of directional calls · hit rate 33%
1 hit · 2 misses · 1 neutral (excluded from hit rate)
A week of three directional calls, only one hit: El Oráculo finished at 33%.
Tracked predictions
| MON 05/10BBD · donchian breakout + Brazil election catalyst · 2d | +0.2%NEUTRAL |
| TUE 06/10GGAL · sector lag with country risk (EMBI) compression · 3d | -3.6%MISS |
| WED 07/10NFLX · pre-earnings drift with anticipatory volume · 4d | +1.1%HIT |
| FRI 09/10BKNG · post-event mean reversion with institutional volume · 2d | -1.8%MISS |
Highlights
NFLX · CEDEAR
+1.1% in 4 sessions · HIT
Entry $69.70 → exit $70.46
NFLX: pre-earnings with -15% vs 60d high
GGAL · AR STOCK
-3.6% in 3 sessions · MISS
Entry $38.18 → exit $36.81
GGAL: 26% lag vs high with EMBI at lows
Unmeasurable
The next measurement comes with four fresh cases to see if the track record corrects.
This is not investment advice. The information published is general in nature and does not account for individual situations. Trading in financial markets involves risk of loss. Consult a registered financial advisor before making decisions (Law 26.831).
Keep reading
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El Oráculo · T31Y7: LECAP 84 bp cheap vs curve
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El Oráculo · BBD: up 3% despite Lula shock on 5x vol
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El Oráculo · NU: systemic selloff erases UBS upgrade
NU falls -2.19% today on volume 3.56x average, dragged down by the broad tech selloff (Nasdaq -2.6%) following Meta's capex noise. The UBS upgrade to $20.50 on 20/10 generated +5.8% that day, but today's systemic panic is erasing part of that move with no fundamental deterioration in the business. With earnings 20 days away, there is no surprise risk within the horizon, and historically similar setups show 3 consecutive wins in comparable configurations.